Speculative idea: options on iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF with 106% upside potential
What's the idea? In his recent speech, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said that the central bank would base its interest rate decisions on macroeconomic data and not on the upcoming presidential election. It seems that today's data are favorable for the start of monetary easing. While the market has been expecting rate cuts for a long time, current economic data finally reflect a real slowdown in inflation and rising unemployment. At least one rate cut is expected in 2024 and this trend is likely to continue into 2025. One of the easiest ways to capitalize on interest rate changes is to invest in long-duration bonds, although building such a portfolio can be costly. For investors willing to speculate on interest rates for higher returns, we recommend buying CALL options on iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF with a strike price of $94.0 and expiration date of 20/06/2024. The option will cost around $5.50, while buying one contract will cost $550 as options are traded for 100 shares.