Outrageous Predictions 2023: The War Economy

Outrageous Predictions 2023: The War Economy 2022 delivered a profound inflationary shock to the world, one that was brewing from the excessive stimulus of the pandemic response policies of 2020 and 2021, and then doubly aggravated by supply side disruptions and then in early 2022 by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. As we say farewell to an inflationary annus horribilis, many believe that we are somehow set to return to some form of normality on the heels of a hefty dose of central bank policy tightening. This year’s Outrageous Predictions argue that any belief in a return to the disinflationary pre-pandemic dynamic is impossible because we have entered into a global war economy, with every major power across the world now scrambling to shore up their national security on all fronts, whether in an actual military sense, or due to profound supply-chain, energy and even financial insecurities that have been laid bare by the pandemic experience and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Generac Holdings Stock: growth potential of over 47.63%

Generac Holdings Stock: growth potential of over 45.9%What's the idea? Although Generac is the market leader in standby power generators, the company's current penetration rate is only 5.5%. A one percentage point increase in penetration could provide Generac with around $3 billion in additional revenue. We expect the company to be one of the beneficiaries of the growing solar energy market through its advanced storage solutions. Generac's board of directors has approved a new $500 million stock buyback programme, to be implemented within 24 months. Generac is trading at a discount to the industry average. According to Wall Street consensus, the stock price has an upside potential of more than 60%.

Darling Ingredients Stock: growth potential of over 53.15%

Darling Ingredients Stock: growth potential of over 58.8%What's the idea? An increasing population and economic growth in emerging markets will stimulate livestock production, which will be a growth driver for the Feed Ingredients segment. Management expects the collagen peptide market to double in the next five years. The company is expected to have additional collagen production capacity as early as the beginning of 2023. We expect the Fuel Ingredients segment to continue to show growth on the back of favourable market conditions and capacity expansion. Target markets have low susceptibility to economic cycles, which can ensure Darling's resilience even in the event of a deep recession. According to the Wall Street consensus, the stock's upside potential exceeds 53.15%.

Kinross Gold Corporation Stock: 41.3% growth potential

Kinross Gold Corporation Stock: 41.3% growth potentialWhat's the idea? A slowdown in US inflation should help the company improve its operating performance and positively impact the value of gold. The projects in the pipeline have good potential for Kinross value growth. Adequate debt levels allow the company to continue with key projects even in turbulent conditions. About Company. Kinross Gold Corporation is engaged in gold mining and related activities including exploration, acquisition and reclamation of gold properties, mining and processing of gold-bearing ore. The company has operations in the United States, Brazil, Chile, Mauritania and Canada.

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Elliott Wave View: Microsoft (MSFT) Looking to Extend the Next Leg Lower

Elliott Wave View: Microsoft (MSFT) Looking to Extend the Next Leg LowerCycle from 12.13.2022 high is in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from 12.13.2022 high, wave 1 ended at 233.87 and rally in wave 2 ended at 245.77. Internal subdivision of wave 2 unfolded as a zigzag structure. Up from wave 1, wave ((a)) ended at 240.87 and pullback in wave ((b)) ended at 233.94. Final leg higher wave ((c)) ended at 245.77 which also completed wave 2. Wave ((c)) unfolded as a 5 waves diagonal where wave (i) ended at 240.8 and wave (ii) ended at 233.94. Wave (iii) higher ended at 241.92, pullback in wave (iv) ended at 236.66 and final leg higher wave (v) ended at 245.77.


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